11
Mister Black
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 4
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Saint-Cloud | C Soumillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | A Pouchin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | A Pouchin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | A Pouchin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | A Pouchin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | A Hamelin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 51/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 18% | -0.50 |
| 30/03/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 08/10/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 87% | +0.16 |