8
Natorspeed Essef
3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | M Protti | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | T Piccone | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | T Piccone | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | T Piccone | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Toulouse | T Piccone | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 4-16 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +12.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |