7

Palm Springs
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#14
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Saint-Cloud | A Pouchin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | C Demuro | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | La Teste De Buch | C Demuro | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | I Mendizabal | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Saint-Cloud | C Soumillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.41 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 19/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 25/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |