15
Parvage
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 7
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | D Provost | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | D Provost | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | D Provost | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | D Provost | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | D Provost | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | D Provost | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 8-16 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength1%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 05/02/2026 | 15th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 20/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 82% | -0.09 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 6/5 | 94% | 29% | -0.65 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |