6
Victory Pace
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#13
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Saint-Cloud | A Pouchin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | A Pouchin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | A Pouchin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | A Pouchin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | Marvin Grandin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | A Pouchin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 91% | +0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 79% | +0.10 |
| 24/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 08/10/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |