4
Askam Chope
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2
Deauville · Prix Zeddaan Listed Stakes · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Dax | F Veron | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | A Werle | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | A Werle | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | A Werle | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/10/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |