3
Miss Choco
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5
Deauville · Prix Zeddaan Listed Stakes · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Le Mans | A Madamet | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | A Madamet | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -38.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 05/10/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |