4
Mr Filerin
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Lodd By Chloe Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | F Lefebvre | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | F Lefebvre | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | F Lefebvre | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | F Lefebvre | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | C Demuro | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | C Demuro | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 67/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 79% | +0.10 |
| 01/02/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 53% | -0.31 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |