Orlhena
5yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix Lodd By Chloe Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#11
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Saint-Cloud | H Boutin | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint-Cloud | R Mangione | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | R Mangione | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | R Mangione | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | H Boutin | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | T Piccone | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 08/06/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/09/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/10/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/10/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |