7
Sir Sparkalot
8yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 3
Deauville · Prix Lodd By Chloe Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#7
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | Coralie Pacaut | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2023-08-27 | Deauville | I Mendizabal | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2023-08-10 | Deauville | I Mendizabal | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2023-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | L Roussel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2023-01-31 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | I Mendizabal | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2023-01-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | I Mendizabal | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength1%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2022 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 23/11/2022 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 09/12/2022 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 19/01/2023 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 31/01/2023 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 18/02/2023 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.26 |
| 10/08/2023 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 27/08/2023 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/07/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |