7

Imperior

3yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 3

Deauville · Prix Irish River Listed Stakes · 6f 211y

#11

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 12/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 6f101y Ver 12812/09C5C5 @ Chantilly 14/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 125C1 @ Saint-Cloud 09/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1259/11C12 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1251 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/051C0 @ ParisLongchamp 07/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS12/071C1 @ Deauville 09/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1241 @ Saint-Cloud 02/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 1252/101projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02Saint-CloudM Grandin15th5th0
2026-08-09DeauvilleAurelien Lemaitre?11th11th0
2026-07-12DeauvilleAurelien Lemaitre18th7th+1
2026-06-07ParisLongchampAurelien Lemaitre?5th5th+0
2026-05-10ParisLongchampT Bachelot111th10th+1
2026-03-29Saint-CloudL Boisseau21st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0929/0312/072/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength20%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
14/10/20253rd11/486%71%-0.14
09/11/20254th8/158%70%+0.12
29/03/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
10/05/202611th150/10%17%+0.17
07/06/20265th100/10%50%+0.50
12/07/20268th200/10%0%0.00
09/08/202611th40/10%23%+0.23
02/10/20265th16/116%33%+0.18