2
Mount Athos
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 12 · OR 107
Deauville · Prix Irish River Listed Stakes · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/5
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Thirsk | James Doyle | 3 | 6th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Kempton | James Doyle | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-07 | Kempton | Rob Hornby | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Deauville | C Soumillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Deauville | I Mendizabal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Haydock | D Tudhope | 1 | 12th | 12th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2024 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 62% | -0.23 |
| 26/03/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 31/05/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 03/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 07/01/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |