12
Viva La Skids
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Irish River Listed Stakes · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Chantilly | Sean Kirrane | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint-Cloud | I Mendizabal | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | I Mendizabal | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | I Mendizabal | 1 | 12th | 12th | +0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Chantilly | F Veron | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | F Veron | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 06/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 01/02/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 16/03/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/08/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/10/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 07/10/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |