13
Bacherovka
3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Caux Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chantilly | M Favriaux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | M Favriaux | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | M Favriaux | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | M Guyon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | M Guyon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | B Marie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 24/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 46% | -0.12 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 15/10/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |