2
Elusive Way
3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Caux Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Saint-Cloud | A Madamet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | A Madamet | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | A Madamet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | Pierre-Charles Boudot | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | A Baron | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | C Lecoeuvre | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 93% | +0.09 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 47% | -0.30 |
| 08/10/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |