6
Fraya Mas
3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 13
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Caux Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Lyon-Parilly | C Demuro | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | M Guyon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | S Pasquier | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Deauville | E Corallo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | E Corallo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Deauville | S Pasquier | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 24/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength23%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 28/11/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.38 |
| 18/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 08/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 06/03/2026 | 14th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 06/10/2026 | 3rd | 2/5 | 98% | 78% | -0.20 |