3
Lamiya
3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 3
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Caux Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Marseille | A Orani | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-29 | Marseille-borely | A Orani | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | A Orani | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | A Orani | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | C Demuro | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | A Crastus | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.04 |
| 05/05/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 02/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 29/09/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/10/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |