14
Tropa
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Caux Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Clairefontaine | Pierre-Charles Boudot | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-10-08 | Saint-Cloud | H Journiac | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | H Journiac | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Le Mans | L Deleau | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Clairefontaine | H Journiac | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Saint-Malo | H Journiac | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 15/08/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 12/09/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 08/10/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 20/10/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |