11
Australips
3yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 10
Deauville · Prix Du Plateau De La Madrie Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chantilly | C Demuro | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | M Barzalona | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vichy | Marvin Grandin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | C Billardello | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | C Billardello | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.12 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 15/10/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |