12
Blue Dahlia
3yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 4
Deauville · Prix Du Plateau De La Madrie Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#11
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Fontainebleau | R Mangione | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | R Mangione | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | P Remoue | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Les Sables | H Journiac | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | H Journiac | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | H Journiac | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 14-14 · tight 87/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -17.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 16/10/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 8% | -0.55 |