14
Bromus
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 5
Deauville · Prix Du Bray Normand Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Fontainebleau | R Thomas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | A Vilchien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | R Thomas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | R Thomas | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Deauville | J Claudic | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | R Thomas | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 76/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 05/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 16/10/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |