10
Johnny Drive
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 12
Deauville · Prix Du Bray Normand Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Clairefontaine | Eddy Hardouin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-28 | Craon | H Lebouc | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | L Gallo | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | M Protti | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | L Gallo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | L Gallo | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 07/05/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 09/06/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 8% | -0.52 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 03/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 20/10/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |