9

Mangas
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 4
Deauville · Prix Du Bray Normand Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chantilly | T Bachelot | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | M Velon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | B Marie | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | M Velon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | M Velon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | A Madamet | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/06/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 10/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 24/09/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 15/10/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |