9

Mangas

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 4

Deauville · Prix Du Bray Normand Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 19/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12819/02C5C5 @ Le Mans 20/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 128C0 @ Saint-Cloud 01/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1241/05C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 02/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 123C0 @ Clairefontaine 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1296/07C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 10/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 131C0 @ ParisLongchamp 13/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 13013/09C?C0 @ Compiegne 24/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y GS 121C0 @ Chantilly 15/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12515/10C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-15ChantillyT Bachelot?5th5th0
2026-09-24CompiegneM Velon?7th7th0
2026-09-13ParisLongchampB Marie?8th8th0
2026-08-10ClairefontaineM Velon?9th9th0
2026-07-06ClairefontaineM Velon?4th4th0
2026-06-02Saint-CloudA Madamet?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/022/0613/0915/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength50%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/02/20269th66/10%11%+0.11
20/03/20266th40/10%38%+0.38
01/05/202610th20/10%36%+0.36
02/06/202613th20/10%20%+0.20
06/07/20264th14/126%75%+0.49
10/08/20269th7/163%33%-0.30
13/09/20268th22/10%53%+0.53
24/09/20267th22/10%54%+0.54
15/10/20265th15/261%69%+0.09