13
Mia Fast
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix Du Bray Normand Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chantilly | F Valle Skar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | A Vilchien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | A Crastus | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | J Claudic | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | J Claudic | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | A Crastus | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/07/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 10/08/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 15/10/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |