12
Parisa
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3
Deauville · Prix Du Bray Normand Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#14
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chantilly | C Belmont | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | C Belmont | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | C Belmont | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | Eddy Hardouin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | M Velon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | Eddy Hardouin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 10-14 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 23/03/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 02/06/2026 | 16th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/09/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 24/09/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 23% | -0.19 |
| 15/10/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |