1
Petite Abeille
3yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 10
Deauville · Prix Du Bray Normand Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chantilly | M Velon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | M Velon | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | M Velon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | L Brechet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | M Velon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nantes | L Brechet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 31/01/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 13/09/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 15/10/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |