4
Steel Drum
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Du Bray Normand Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chantilly | C Lecoeuvre | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | C Lecoeuvre | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | M Marquette | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | E Crublet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | E Crublet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Salisbury | Georgia Dobie | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 3-14 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 31/07/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 20/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 04/09/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 15/10/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |