6
Cite Florale
3yo Filly · 10-11
Down Royal · Lisburn And Castlereagh City Council 3-Y-O Hurdle · 2m 190y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | Darragh O'Keeffe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | Billy Lee | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Naas | Billy Lee | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Dundalk | Ronan Whelan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -21.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |