3
Fay Og
3yo Gelding · 10-12
Down Royal · Lisburn And Castlereagh City Council 3-Y-O Hurdle · 2m 190y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 10.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Bellewstown | Patrick McGettigan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | J J Slevin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | Chris Hayes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | Killian Leonard | ? | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Navan | Robbie Colgan | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 5-6 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 15th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 18th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/09/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |