7
Microscope
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 98
Down Royal · Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle · 2m 190y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | Michael Kenneally | BHA100 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | Michael Kenneally | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Downpatrick | Michael Kenneally | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Navan | Michael Kenneally | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Down Royal | Eoin Staples | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2024-06-15 | Downpatrick | Mr D McGill | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 5-17 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 15/06/2024 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/01/2026 | 16th | 150/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 21/03/2026 | 11th | 250/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |