8
S T Hamo
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Down Royal · Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle · 2m 190y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Fairyhouse | Miss A B O'Connor | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Downpatrick | Mr P W Mullins | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | Miss A B O'Connor | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | Miss A B O'Connor | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | Miss A B O'Connor | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | Miss A B O'Connor | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength90%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 10/10/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |