9
Skerry Hill
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Down Royal · Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle · 2m 190y
#1
Rank
Odds
1/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Ayr | Danny Gilligan | 2 | 1st | -6th | +6 |
| 2025-10-31 | Down Royal | Mr H C Swan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |