War Rooms
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Down Royal · Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle · 2m 190y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 8 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Listowel | Seamie Heffernan | BHA88 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | Seamie Heffernan | BHA88 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | Seamie Heffernan | BHA89 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | Colin Keane | BHA83 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | Seamie Heffernan | BHA86 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | Jack Kearney | BHA87 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/12/2025 | 20th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 26/12/2025 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/05/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 65% | +0.39 |
| 21/09/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.01 |