15
Barrys Spirit
5yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 115
Down Royal · Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 190y
#16
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | Kevin Healy | BHA116 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | Conor Stone-Walsh | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Downpatrick | Eoin Staples | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Downpatrick | Mr B M Coonan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Roscommon | Mr D G Lavery | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 8-15 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |