3
Ben Hur
4yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 127
Down Royal · Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 190y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Listowel | Donagh Meyler | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Leopardstown | Adam Caffrey | BHA74 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | Adam Caffrey | BHA71 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | Donagh Meyler | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Fairyhouse | Donagh Meyler | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | Donagh Meyler | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 67/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 29/09/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |