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16

Combs

4yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 116

Down Royal · Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 190y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got back on track to finally open his hurdle account in a 2m Kilbeggan maiden on reappearance. However, not in the same form in a listed handicap at Listowel next time and ran even worse in a minor event at Sligo last week. Something to prove.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m60y Yie 1544/10C8C8 @ Punchestown 22/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m160y Sft 1541 @ Limerick 29/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 113 · 2m Sft 140 · beat its mark29/12/2025 · OR 113 par29/121OR 113BHA120 @ Fairyhouse 14/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 120 · 2m Yie 154 · below its mark14/01/2026 · OR 120 parC8 @ Down Royal 17/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR 120 · 2m1f105y Yie 156 · below its mark17/03/2026 · OR 120 par17/03C8OR 120C8 @ Fairyhouse 06/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 21 · OR 118 · 2m Yie 156 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 118 parC8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 116 · 2m Goo 164 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 116 par3/09C8OR 1161 @ Listowel 24/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 118 · 2m Goo 151 · below its mark24/09/2026 · OR 118 parBHA117 @ Sligo 23/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 117 · 2m1f158y Yie 162 · below its mark23/10/2026 · OR 117 par23/10117OR 117projClass-projected finish: 15th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-23SligoDanny GilliganBHA1174th4th0
2026-09-24ListowelDanny Gilligan110th10th0
2026-09-03KilbegganDanny Gilligan?1st1st0
2026-04-06FairyhouseDanny Gilligan?9th9th0
2026-03-17Down RoyalJack Kennedy?6th6th0
2026-01-14FairyhouseKevin HealyBHA1204th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1014/013/0923/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 12-18 · tight 74/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20253rd6/492%82%-0.10
22/11/20253rd5/174%83%+0.10
29/12/20253rd12/137%82%+0.45
14/01/20264th11/142%57%+0.15
17/03/20266th5/174%72%-0.01
06/04/20269th20/10%60%+0.60
03/09/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
24/09/202610th16/116%25%+0.09
23/10/20264th10/382%25%-0.57