1
Lazare De Star
5yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 132
Down Royal · Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 190y
#15
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | Danny Gilligan | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Punchestown | Jack Kennedy | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Navan | Jack Kennedy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Leopardstown | Jack Kennedy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Navan | Jack Kennedy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 66/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 96% | +0.04 |
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |