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Mino Des Mottes

4yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 125

Down Royal · Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 190y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on previous promise to score on yard debut at Bellewstown (17f) in July and showed even better form when third of 13 in 2m handicap at Listowel in September. Upped in grade and fitted with first-time cheekpieces. did enough to suggest he remains in form at Gowran 4 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 12/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m35y Sft 16112/01C8C8 @ Punchestown 04/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 2m Sft 1541 @ Cheltenham 10/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 22 · OR 126 · 2m87y GS 156 · below its mark10/03/2026 · OR 126 par10/031OR 126C8 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 121 · 2m70y Yie 161 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 121 parC8 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 119 · 2m1f40y Gd 154 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 119 par4/07C8OR 119C8 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 123 · 2m130y Gd 161 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 123 parC8 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 123 · 2m2f200y Goo 163 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 123 par21/08C8OR 1231 @ Listowel 24/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 123 · 2m Goo 156 · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 123 par1 @ Gowran Park 03/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 125 · 2m60y Goo 154 · below its mark03/10/2026 · OR 125 par3/101OR 125projClass-projected finish: 13th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Gowran ParkJack Kennedy15th5th0
2026-09-24ListowelJack Kennedy13rd3rd0
2026-08-21KilbegganJack Kennedy?2nd2nd0
2026-07-27GalwayJack Kennedy?2nd2nd0
2026-07-04BellewstownJosh Williamson?1st1st0
2026-04-05CorkHarry Cobden?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/015/0421/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 60/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/01/20265th15/261%71%+0.11
04/02/20262nd4/179%93%+0.14
10/03/202613th50/10%43%+0.43
05/04/20262nd4/797%93%-0.04
04/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
27/07/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
21/08/20262nd10/382%88%+0.05
24/09/20263rd13/266%83%+0.18
03/10/20265th6/168%20%-0.48