8

Radiator Springs

6yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 120

Down Royal · Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 190y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage point winner who was successful on second hurdle start at Clonmel in January. Failed to meet expectations in a fairly useful handicap at Punchestown in the spring but back on song when fourth of 18 at Listowel on return and a well-run race at this trip on soft ground likely to be ideal.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 19 · OR - · 2m Sft 16115/12C8C8 @ Clonmel 08/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 2m202y Hvy 1538/01C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 06/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 21 · OR 116 · 2m Yie 162 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 116 par6/04C8OR 116BHA119 @ Punchestown 29/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 24 · OR 119 · 2m3f58y Yie 165 · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 119 par29/04119OR 119BHA119 @ Listowel 20/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR 119 · 2m2f100y Goo 165 · below its mark20/09/2026 · OR 119 par20/09119OR 119projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20ListowelDarragh O'KeeffeBHA1194th4th0
2026-04-29PunchestownPatrick M O'BrienBHA1198th8th0
2026-04-06FairyhouseDarragh O'Keeffe?2nd2nd0
2026-01-08ClonmelDarragh O'Keeffe?1st1st0
2025-12-15NaasMike O'Connor?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/128/016/0429/0420/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 5-18 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength38%

Delivery trend -19.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/20253rd40/10%89%+0.89
08/01/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
06/04/20262nd9/153%95%+0.42
29/04/20268th9/276%70%-0.07
20/09/20264th7/282%82%+0.01