9
Stuntman Steve
7yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 120
Down Royal · Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 190y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Sligo | Keith Donoghue | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Downpatrick | Eoghan Finegan | BHA112 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | Eoghan Finegan | BHA120 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Punchestown | Eoghan Finegan | BHA112 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | Keith Donoghue | BHA112 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Ayr | Keith Donoghue | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 10-18 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 14/01/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/02/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 30/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |