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7

Wholelotofbusiness

7yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 122

Down Royal · Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 190y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up to Lieber Nicc in this race last year and ran well under the circumstances (shuffled back early) when third of 15 in handicap hurdle at Listowel (2m, good to soft) 36 days ago, never nearer. Still looks feasibly treated following a 3 lb rise in the weights and one to consider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 23/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 112 · 2m100y Goo 158 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 112 par23/08C8OR 112C8 @ Listowel 24/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 112 · 2m Yie 166 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 112 parC8 @ Killarney 05/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 112 · 2m1f Yie 160 · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 112 par5/10C8OR 112BHA120 @ Down Royal 01/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 120 · 2m190y Yie 153 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 120 parBHA122 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 19 · OR 122 · 2m3f Yie 153 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 122 par5/04122OR 122BHA121 @ Killarney 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 121 · 2m1f Goo 151 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 121 parBHA121 @ Listowel 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 121 · 2m Yie 162 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 121 par1/06121OR 121BHA120 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 120 · 2m175y Goo 156 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 120 par1 @ Listowel 25/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 119 · 2m Goo 143 · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 119 par25/091OR 119projClass-projected finish: 11th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25ListowelSimon Torrens13rd3rd0
2026-08-01GalwayGary NoonanBHA1208th8th0
2026-06-01ListowelGary NoonanBHA1218th8th0
2026-05-09KillarneyGary NoonanBHA1213rd3rd0
2026-04-05CorkGary NoonanBHA12210th10th0
2025-11-01Down RoyalSimon TorrensBHA1202nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/081/111/0625/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20252nd4/596%93%-0.02
24/09/20252nd6/168%94%+0.26
05/10/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
01/11/20252nd11/142%91%+0.49
05/04/202610th22/10%50%+0.50
09/05/20263rd3/184%78%-0.06
01/06/20268th11/271%0%-0.71
01/08/20268th33/10%63%+0.63
25/09/20263rd14/126%86%+0.59