13

Attaboyarchie
9yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 100
Down Royal · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Chase · 3m
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | Miss E J Sweeney | BHA100 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | Miss E J Sweeney | BHA98 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-13 | Perth | Miss E J Sweeney | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | Miss E J Sweeney | BHA98 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leopardstown | Miss E J Sweeney | BHA100 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Navan | Miss E J Sweeney | BHA103 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength47%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 20/04/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 21/11/2025 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 31/12/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 14/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 09/06/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |