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6

Clonmeen

11yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 112

Down Royal · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Chase · 3m

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Posted best effort for some time when springing a surprise in 17-runner handicap chase over similar trip at Fairyhouse in April, easily. No major surprise given overall profile that he found 12 lb rise and a better race beyond him a month later.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA114 @ Navan 09/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 114 · 2m7f175y Sft 160 · below its mark09/02/2025 · OR 114 par9/02114OR 1141 @ Fairyhouse 22/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 112 · 3m1f165y Sft 154 · below its mark22/02/2025 · OR 112 parBHA112 @ Limerick 23/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 112 · 3m150y Yie 158 · below its mark23/03/2025 · OR 112 par23/03112OR 112BHA112 @ Fairyhouse 11/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 112 · 3m104y Yie 158 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 112 parBHA112 @ Down Royal 01/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 112 · 3m Goo 158 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 112 par1/11112OR 112BHA110 @ Navan 14/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 110 · 3m Sft 156 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 110 parBHA106 @ Limerick 27/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 106 · 2m6f120y Sft 155 · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 106 par27/12106OR 106BHA103 @ Fairyhouse 21/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 103 · 2m7f165y Hvy 159 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 103 parBHA100 @ Fairyhouse 06/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 100 · 3m120y Yie 140 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 100 par6/04100OR 100projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-02PunchestownDaniel King10
2026-04-06FairyhouseSimon TorrensBHA1001st1st0
2026-02-21FairyhouseBrian HayesBHA1034th4th0
2025-12-27LimerickNiall MooreBHA1069th9th0
2025-12-14NavanNiall MooreBHA1106th6th0
2025-11-30FairyhouseNiall Moore10

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0211/1027/126/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength83%

Delivery trend +7.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20258th16/116%42%+0.26
22/02/20256th250/10%0%0.00
23/03/20256th20/10%50%+0.50
11/10/20254th28/10%73%+0.73
01/11/20258th10/147%42%-0.06
14/12/20256th33/10%55%+0.55
27/12/20259th20/10%27%+0.27
21/02/20264th28/10%75%+0.75
06/04/20261st40/10%100%+1.00