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7

Dinoland

8yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 112

Down Royal · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Chase · 3m

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

81%

Place Prob

63%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved for his current yard when landing handicap chases at Downpatrick (3m) and Tramore (2¾m) in May. Failed to complete the hat-trick switched to hurdling after a break 4 weeks ago but it was by no means a bad effort. Remains of serious interest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C9.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA98 @ Downpatrick 10/05/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 98 · 2m5f180y Gd 164 · below its mark10/05/2024 · OR 98 par10/0598OR 98BHA100 @ Kilbeggan 12/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 100 · 3m180y Goo 166 · below its mark12/07/2024 · OR 100 par4 @ Cartmel 20/07/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 102 · 2m6f31y Gd 154 · beat its mark20/07/2024 · OR 102 par20/074OR 102BHA102 @ Roscommon 06/08/2024 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 102 · 2m7f213y Yie 162 · below its mark06/08/2024 · OR 102 parBHA102 @ Down Royal 30/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR 102 · 3m Goo 168 · beat its mark30/08/2024 · OR 102 par30/08102OR 102C8 @ Downpatrick 20/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 110 · 2m5f110y Gd 162 · below its mark20/09/2024 · OR 110 parBHA95 @ Downpatrick 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 95 · 2m7f150y Goo 163 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 95 par8/0595OR 95BHA102 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 102 · 2m6f Goo 158 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 102 parBHA102 @ Fairyhouse 05/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 102 · 3m Gd 162 · below its mark05/10/2026 · OR 102 par5/10102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-05FairyhouseSam EwingBHA1025th5th0
2026-05-30TramoreSam EwingBHA1021st1st0
2026-05-08DownpatrickSam EwingBHA951st1st0
2026-04-18BellewstownMr R GuineyBHA1020
2026-04-12Down RoyalDanny MullinsBHA970
2025-07-01TipperaryAlex HarveyBHA970

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/056/088/055/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -7.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20242nd16/116%93%+0.77
12/07/20242nd12/137%92%+0.55
20/07/20241st3/184%100%+0.16
06/08/202411th11/271%33%-0.38
30/08/20241st10/147%100%+0.53
20/09/20242nd16/583%80%-0.03
08/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
30/05/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
05/10/20265th7/282%67%-0.15