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2

Intense Approach

7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 120

Down Royal · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Chase · 3m

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful winning hurdler/chaser at his best but has largely struggled since a Galway maiden chase success last summer. Much more like it when runner-up back hurdling 18 days ago but had the run of the race and now needs to back that up returned to fences.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Perth 23/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 133 · 2m7f207y GS 159 · below its mark23/04/2025 · OR 133 par23/041OR 133C0 @ Galway 01/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 2m6f111y Gd 1662 @ Cheltenham 25/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 3m1f Goo 16125/1021 @ Navan 28/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 132 · 2m Hvy 155 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 132 par1 @ Cheltenham 12/03/2026 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR 137 · 2m4f127y Goo 151 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 137 par12/031OR 137C0 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f71y Gd 154BHA127 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 20 · OR 127 · 2m6f111y Goo 153 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 127 par31/07127OR 127BHA123 @ Kilbeggan 08/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 123 · 2m4f40y Goo 159 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 123 parBHA126 @ Punchestown 13/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 126 · 2m7f95y Gd 154 · below its mark13/10/2026 · OR 126 par13/10126OR 126projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-13PunchestownConor SmithersBHA1262nd2nd0
2026-08-16TramoreAlex HarveyBHA1220
2026-08-08KilbegganAlex HarveyBHA1236th6th0
2026-07-31GalwayAlex HarveyBHA12713th13th0
2026-07-02BellewstownMs L A Byrne?5th5th0
2026-03-12CheltenhamAlex Harvey116th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0428/0231/0713/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 40/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength52%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/04/20258th9/153%46%-0.06
01/08/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
25/10/20255th2/189%33%-0.56
28/02/20265th50/10%0%0.00
12/03/202616th80/10%12%+0.12
02/07/20265th13/266%33%-0.32
31/07/202613th16/116%37%+0.21
08/08/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
13/10/20262nd14/126%75%+0.49