8
Labondance
5yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 112
Down Royal · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Chase · 3m
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Punchestown | Donagh Meyler | BHA105 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Listowel | Donagh Meyler | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Ballinrobe | Donagh Meyler | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Compiegne | J Charron | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-20 | Compiegne | L Brechet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Auteuil | L Brechet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 27/05/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 12/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 01/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 73% | -0.17 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 13/10/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |