12
Ringdufferin
8yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 107
Down Royal · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Chase · 3m
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C10.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Downpatrick | Ricky Doyle | BHA109 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | Calum Hogan | BHA109 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | Ricky Doyle | BHA109 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | Ricky Doyle | BHA108 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | Ricky Doyle | BHA112 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | Ricky Doyle | BHA108 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/02/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/06/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 19/08/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |