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4

Fleur In The Park

7yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 157

Down Royal · BetVictor, Remembering Envoi Allen Champion Chase (Grade 1) · 3m

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took really well to chasing last season, producing a career best when landing Grade 1 Novices' Chase at Fairyhouse (2½m, soft) in April. Second in another Grade 1 at Punchestown (25f) and picked up where he left off when smooth winner at Gowran. This is probably on the limit of his stamina.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Fairyhouse 06/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 133 · 2m4f Yie 157 · below its mark06/04/2025 · OR 133 par6/041OR 1331 @ Punchestown 30/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 135 · 2m7f192y Yie 164 · below its mark30/04/2025 · OR 135 parC0 @ Gowran Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m4f Yie 1664/10C?C0 @ Wexford 27/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m Goo 1661 @ Punchestown 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m43y Sft 15823/1111 @ Thurles 05/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 145 · 2m5f110y Sft 153 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 145 par1 @ Fairyhouse 05/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 143 · 2m4f Yie 164 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 143 par5/041OR 1431 @ Punchestown 28/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 153 · 3m213y Yie 164 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 153 par1 @ Gowran Park 03/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 153 · 2m4f Goo 166 · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 153 par3/101OR 153projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Gowran ParkCian Quirke11st1st−0
2026-04-28PunchestownCian Quirke12nd3rd−1
2026-04-05FairyhouseCian Quirke11st1st0
2026-03-05ThurlesCian Quirke15th6th−1
2025-11-23PunchestownCian Quirke12nd3rd−1
2025-10-27WexfordCian Quirke?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0427/105/043/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/04/20252nd7/282%86%+0.04
30/04/20253rd17/255%71%+0.16
04/10/20252nd9/488%90%+0.02
27/10/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
23/11/20252nd10/1195%75%-0.20
05/03/20265th7/282%20%-0.62
05/04/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
28/04/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
03/10/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06