5
Haiti Couleurs
9yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 162
Down Royal · BetVictor, Remembering Envoi Allen Champion Chase (Grade 1) · 3m
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | S Bowen | 1 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | S Bowen | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-07 | Newbury | S Bowen | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chepstow | S Bowen | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Haydock | S Bowen | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-06 | Newbury | S Bowen | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2024 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/12/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/02/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 11/03/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/04/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/04/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |