2
Jacob's Ladder
7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 148
Down Royal · Racing Post Chase (Grade 2) · 2m 3f 100y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | Jack Kennedy | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | Jack Kennedy | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Navan | Jack Kennedy | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-02 | Leopardstown | Jack Kennedy | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Punchestown | Jack Kennedy | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Fairyhouse | Jack Kennedy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 02/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |